🔍 Objectives
- Quantify relationships between orbital cycles and ice-volume proxies.
- Characterize lead–lag structures between orbital forcing and cryosphere response.
- Identify pulse sequences that correlate with rift initiation and uplift counterweights.
🧠 Key Concepts
- Precession (≈19–23 kyr) – seasonal/hemispheric insolation swings; often drives monsoon–ice feedbacks.
- Obliquity (≈41 kyr) – high-latitude summer insolation; strong control on ice-sheet mass balance.
- Eccentricity (≈100/405 kyr) – amplitude modulator for precession; tied to late-Pleistocene pacing.
- Amplifiers – albedo, ocean heat transport, and freshwater routing that sharpen deglaciation pulses.
📦 Data Inputs (placeholders)
- Orbital solutions: Laskar La2004/La2010 (eccentricity, obliquity, precession indices).
- Ice-volume / δ18O stacks: LR04, benthic stacks; ice cores (EPICA, GISP2/NEEM) for high-res sections.
- Deglacial events: MWP-1A, MWP-1B, Younger Dryas termination markers.
- Codex layer: Rift–Cryosphere Timeline (epoch, cap dominance, anomaly pairings).
Replace with actual repository links/DOIs when you stage the analysis notebooks.
🧪 Methods (analysis plan)
- Spectral diagnostics: multitaper/FFT on ice proxies; verify 23/41/100/405 kyr bands.
- Cross-correlation: orbital indices vs. ice proxies to estimate lead–lag (regional & global).
- Event alignment: align meltwater pulses to orbital phase; annotate cap dominance (N vs S).
- Coupling to rifts: join pulse windows to Codex rift entries; test for clustering near anomaly pairings.
- Robustness: bootstrap confidence intervals; shuffle tests against null (phase-scrambled indices).
🗺️ Figures (placeholders)
- Phase wheels: orbital phase → meltwater pulse timing → rift activation markers.
- Hemispheric pie/bar: cap dominance distribution per orbital band.
- Global map: pulses layered on anomaly pairings (from V3/V8 geodesic products).
✅ Outputs
- Lead–lag table for (eccentricity/obliquity/precession) vs. cryosphere response with CIs.
- Tagged pulse intervals usable as features for V9.3–V9.5 modeling.
- Reproducible notebook linking orbital pacing to Codex rift entries.
📚 References (to stage)
- Laskar et al., orbital solutions La2004/La2010 (obliquity/eccentricity/precession indices).
- LR04 benthic stack; EPICA Dome C; GISP2/NEEM ice-core chronologies.
- Deglacial pulse literature (MWP-1A/1B timing constraints).